Read e-book online Stumbling Giant: The Threats to China's Future PDF

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By Timothy Beardson

ISBN-10: 0300165420

ISBN-13: 9780300165425

While dozens of contemporary books and articles have estimated the near-certainty of China’s upward push to international supremacy, this booklet boldly counters such widely-held assumptions. Timothy Beardson brings to mild the daunting array of demanding situations that this day confront China, in addition to the inadequacy of the coverage responses. Threats to China come on many fronts, Beardson exhibits, and by means of their quantity and sheer weight those difficulties will thwart any ambition to develop into the world’s “Number One power.”
 
Drawing on broad study and event dwelling and dealing in Asia over the past 35 years, the writer spells out China’s scenario: an inexorable demographic way forward for a shrinking hard work strength, relentless aging, severe gender disparity, or even a falling inhabitants. additionally, the kingdom faces social instability, a devastated atmosphere, a predominantly low-tech economic climate with insufficient innovation, the absence of a good welfare security web, an ossified governance constitution, and radical Islam lurking on the borders. Beardson’s nuanced, first-hand examine China recognizes its historical achievements whereas tempering predictions of its impending hegemony with a no-nonsense dose of reality.

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Download e-book for kindle: Stumbling Giant: The Threats to China's Future by Timothy Beardson

Whereas dozens of contemporary books and articles have expected the near-certainty of China’s upward thrust to international supremacy, this ebook boldly counters such widely-held assumptions. Timothy Beardson brings to mild the daunting array of demanding situations that this present day confront China, in addition to the inadequacy of the coverage responses.

Extra info for Stumbling Giant: The Threats to China's Future

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81 Today, accordingly, China’s borders contain an uneasy amalgam of Han and certain ethnic groups conquered at various times, but not others. The minorities are castaways, stranded as the imperial tide receded: the Uighurs and Tibetans are in, but most Koreans, the Burmese and the Vietnamese are out. There is no obvious logic to today’s mix. Modern China’s borders are the result of accident, rather than principle or logic. There is a consensus that in 1912 a worn-­out dynasty was replaced by a corrupt and inefficient Nationalist republic, which would inevitably, in its turn, fall to a vigorous proletarian revolutionary Communist movement, strong enough to purge, unify and clean up the country.

Chen Yun had been advocating using market influence in the economy since the 1950s. indd 38 29/03/13 4:56 PM The Making of Today’s China 39 been exiled from Beijing and sent to factory work during the 1970s. After the arrest of the Gang of Four, he took the lead in demanding that the Party go further and condemn the entire Cultural Revolution. The overseas media in the 1980s delighted in depicting China as engaged in a Manichaean struggle between reformers and Maoists, exemplified often in the forms of Deng and Chen.

Such a society is more likely to be misrepresented than one which conducts itself transparently. It has been under-­appreciated that those who arrested the Gang of Four, scrapped Mao’s policies and later executed the coup against his chosen successor were mostly individuals who had suffered badly under the chaotic, cruel and indeed deadly Cultural Revolution and were firmly opposed to its return. Deng Xiaoping’s principal contribution, as Chinese leader, was to seek quietly to drop ideology and adopt pragmatism as guiding policy.

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Stumbling Giant: The Threats to China's Future by Timothy Beardson


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